Summary
This is a Department of Defense (Missile Defense Agency) SBIR/STTR topic soliciting a rigorous statistical analysis of long-term radiation trends and their impact on microelectronics and space/defense systems to inform testing needs and risk/design margins. Work includes trend identification, correlation studies between historical radiation data and performance degradation, predictive modeling (including ML techniques), and quantification of uncertainties to support risk management and design decisions. Eligibility is limited to onshore (U.S.) organizations, performance is offsite, and the solicitation opens July 22, 2026 with a submission/close date of August 19, 2026.